The Forbes article looks ahead to the five major technologies that will affect the world in the next 15 years. They are new computer architectures, genomics, nanotechnology, energy storage technologies, and robotics. The article points out that as these technologies complement each other and develop together, humanity will begin to control the physical world.
Looking back fifteen years ago, the Internet penetration rate in the world in 2001 was still only 5%, and the network speed was also very slow, and it has now grown to 50%. At that time, the mobile phone has been popularized, but it is limited to making text messages and smartphones. The popularity is still far away; Google is still just a startup.
Even if you can access the Internet, you just send and receive e-mail or provide some basic information services. Video website YouTube has just been born for five years, people do not know that e-commerce is a viable business model. Many people do not think that Amazon can survive. Social media has not yet been popularized.
Since then, the progress of science and technology has been incredible. Looking forward to the next 15 years, the development of science and technology will be even more puzzling. In the past 15 years, the development of technology was mainly limited to the virtual world; and by 2030, we will see the transformation of technology in the physical world.
New computer architecture
In 1965, Gordon Moore proposed the famous Moore's Law, predicting that the processing speed of a chip would double every 18 months. For 50 years, engineers have continued to follow this development law of the chip industry. However, now that Moore's Law is about to end, people are still trying to extend the life cycle of the law through 3D stacking and FPGA chip technology, but its effect is limited. If we fundamentally extend the pace of development of the chip industry, we need to develop new computer architectures.
One of them is quantum computing, which uses the overlap and entanglement effects in quantum mechanics to develop a computer chip whose performance is millions of times today;
The second is to develop a neurological chip that mimics the human brain, which will run billions of times faster than existing computers.
It will take several years for the two new computers to be commercialized, but there are already working prototypes. Within ten years, we can see that these new architectures will completely change the computer industry.
2. Genomics
The human genome was decoded for the first time in 2003, and its related expenses exceeded $3 billion. By 2030, the human genome sequencing technology will become increasingly sophisticated and cost will be less than 100 US dollars.
At present, we have applied genomics to medical fields such as cancer treatment to treat breast cancer and other diseases through the genetic makeup of patients. By 2030, genomics will be combined with immunotherapy to fight cancer by stimulating human autoimmunity, making cancer a curable disease.
In addition, the genomic technology called CRISPR allows engineers to precisely organize genes and synthesize various functional organisms in cell factories. For example, inserting suitable genomes in bacteria and microorganisms can even allow them to produce plastics and other substances.
3. Nanotechnology
As early as 1959, the physicist Richard Feynman proposed the concept of nanotechnology—material production at the atomic level—which at the time sounded undoubtedly science fiction. And now this has become a reality, such as graphene and quantum dots open the door for new materials for humans.
The application of nanotechnology in the future is even more numerous. However, the implementation of new materials at the molecular level is still in its infancy. But by 2030, we can download new designs of new physical materials in the same way that we download software today.
In addition, according to Feynman's vision, related technologies will also produce nano-level drugs. Doctors will treat single diseased cells with devices that are smaller in width than human hair, making medical treatment more effective.
By 2030, nanobots will be able to directly enter the bloodstream to search for diseased cells, pathogens, or repair specific cells.
4. Energy storage technology
Over the past 40 years, energy storage technology has continued to improve.
In 1970, the lithium-ion battery was introduced, and the corresponding energy density and cost were rising. Look at your notebook computer and the battery even accounts for 90% of the weight and volume.
Since the era of smartphones, the revolution of mobile devices has pushed battery technology to a lower volume and lower cost. However, just like the Moore's Law of the chip industry, lithium-ion batteries are now approaching the theoretical limit of technological hungry.
Researchers are working hard to find alternative technologies. Researchers at Argonne National Laboratory in the United States are working on a new generation of battery technology that will have five times the capacity of existing lithium-ion batteries and at the same time cost only one-fifth.
5. Robotics
Robotics is another rapidly developing technology area. In the past, almost all robots were used in heavy industry and they were often kept away from humans for safety. And now, whether it's on the battlefield or in the factory, robots start working side by side with humans.
By 2030, robots will play a greater role in everyday life. Next-generation robots will use nano-materials that are lighter and more robust; they are equipped with powerful neurological chips and run advanced deep learning algorithms that can interact with humans in a natural way.
The past 15 years have been largely defined by the development of digital technology. The next 15 years will be the deep integration of various technologies.
A more powerful computer architecture will create conditions for humans at the genome level and at the molecular level, and eventually develop smart machines. New energy sources and new energy storage technologies will make these technologies more useful, safe, and efficient.
In 2016, we have already mastered the informational virtual world. By 2030, we will begin to control the physical world.
Source cloud business was born in the field of new technologies. In the next 15 years, it will surely lead the outdoor industry to go higher and further!
Source: Internet, edited and published by equipment cool, reprint please indicate the source!
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